Things can be obvious if they are simple. If something complicated is obvious, such as anything that anybody seriously studies, then for it to be simple you must be abstracting it a lot. When people find such things obvious, what they often mean is that the abstraction is so clear and simple its implications are unarguable. This is answering the wrong question. Most of the reasons such conclusions might be false are hidden in what you abstracted away. The question is whether you have the right abstraction for reality, not whether the abstraction has the implications it seems to.Many arguments occur because one person thinks that the conversation should be focused on premises and the other thinks that the conversation should be focused on implications. These conversations are often tedious, but once diagnosed they quickly fizzle out with a simple "if, then" qualifier. So noticing such cases is a useful skill.
Sunday, August 30, 2009
Katja Grace recounts when and why you should be suspicious of obvious models: